Tour Survival via European Order of Merit
Great assessment of this by Matt at Pro Snooker blog - http://www.prosnookerblog.com/2014/02/0 ... -round-up/
A player-by-player summary of the players involved follows -
Gerard Greene and Sam Baird are in the end of season top 64 as it stands, but if they fell out they've guaranteed themselves survival were they to slip up.
Robbie Williams, Scott Donaldson, Luca Brecel and Ian Burns are outside the end of season top 64 but are all within striking distance of getting into the top 64, but if they fail to do so, are pretty much guaranteed a place via the Order of Merit.
Joel Walker's unlikely to make the Top 64 by the end of the season, but has guaranteed himself a place via the Order of Merit.
Almost the same for Michael Wasley as Joel Walker - not quite a guaranteed place, but it would take Greene and Baird falling out of the Top 64, and all of Williams, Donaldson, Brecel and Burns not getting in, PLUS a massive loss of form by a player further up the rankings who features on the Order of Merit - Jimmy Robertson or Jamie Jones - for him to miss out.
Barry Pinches looks oh-so-close to being safe, it would take Greene and Baird falling out of the Top 64, and none of Williams, Donaldson, Brecel and Burns getting in for him to miss out (from now on I'm ignoring the possible 'massive loss of form' of Jimmy Robertson, Jamie Jones and Pankaj Advani - the last named being below Wasley but above Pinches on the Order of Merit).
David Grace, as the last player currently 'in', obviously has reason to be nervous - he'd lose his spot if Greene OR Baird fell out and none of Williams, Donaldson, Brecel and Burns made it into the Top 64, or if both fell out and two of those four players didn't make it in.
Essentially, players further down the list need Greene and Baird to stay in the Top 64 whilst as many as possible of Williams, Donaldson, Brecel and Burns work their way in. There's certainly just enough players in the lower reaches of the Top 64 who either don't have Order of Merit protection (say Jimmy White and Dave Harold), or don't need it because they're on the first year of a two year card (Gary Wilson and David Morris), that four players still could get lucky and claim a place in descending order of likelihood, Tony Drago , Martin O'Donnell, Mike Dunn and Zhāng Āndá .
A player-by-player summary of the players involved follows -
Gerard Greene and Sam Baird are in the end of season top 64 as it stands, but if they fell out they've guaranteed themselves survival were they to slip up.
Robbie Williams, Scott Donaldson, Luca Brecel and Ian Burns are outside the end of season top 64 but are all within striking distance of getting into the top 64, but if they fail to do so, are pretty much guaranteed a place via the Order of Merit.
Joel Walker's unlikely to make the Top 64 by the end of the season, but has guaranteed himself a place via the Order of Merit.
Almost the same for Michael Wasley as Joel Walker - not quite a guaranteed place, but it would take Greene and Baird falling out of the Top 64, and all of Williams, Donaldson, Brecel and Burns not getting in, PLUS a massive loss of form by a player further up the rankings who features on the Order of Merit - Jimmy Robertson or Jamie Jones - for him to miss out.
Barry Pinches looks oh-so-close to being safe, it would take Greene and Baird falling out of the Top 64, and none of Williams, Donaldson, Brecel and Burns getting in for him to miss out (from now on I'm ignoring the possible 'massive loss of form' of Jimmy Robertson, Jamie Jones and Pankaj Advani - the last named being below Wasley but above Pinches on the Order of Merit).
David Grace, as the last player currently 'in', obviously has reason to be nervous - he'd lose his spot if Greene OR Baird fell out and none of Williams, Donaldson, Brecel and Burns made it into the Top 64, or if both fell out and two of those four players didn't make it in.
Essentially, players further down the list need Greene and Baird to stay in the Top 64 whilst as many as possible of Williams, Donaldson, Brecel and Burns work their way in. There's certainly just enough players in the lower reaches of the Top 64 who either don't have Order of Merit protection (say Jimmy White and Dave Harold), or don't need it because they're on the first year of a two year card (Gary Wilson and David Morris), that four players still could get lucky and claim a place in descending order of likelihood, Tony Drago , Martin O'Donnell, Mike Dunn and Zhāng Āndá .
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roy142857 - Posts: 2979
- Joined: 28 May 2011