by snookerbacker » 12 Apr 2010 Read
Hello All,
Firstly to Sonny, congratulations on getting the site up and running will be having a walk around the island in the next few days, though you did promise me a full sized table and Kelly Brook
Anyway, my own world championship preview is up on the blog at snookerbacker.com for anyone with a day to spare.....got a bit carried away. Too excited
If anyone is thinking of having a bet check out the offer that the sponsors are doing for first time customers - there is a click through to it on the right hand menu.
cheers all, now off to look for Kelly
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by Bourne » 12 Apr 2010 Read
Had a look at it earlier via your prompt on BF, looking good !
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by snookerbacker » 12 Apr 2010 Read
Cheers Bourney,
Struck any wagers yet yourself my old chap?
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by Bourne » 12 Apr 2010 Read
snookerbacker wrote:Cheers Bourney,
Struck any wagers yet yourself my old chap?
Not yet no, looking to fade the out-of-form players in R1 though ... Picking an outright winner is goddamn tough here.
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by snookerbacker » 12 Apr 2010 Read
For me JB, it boils down to 3 groups:
Past Winners.
Ranking/Masters Winners this season.
Big Shock
I think there will be a new winner, so that says to me it's either Robbo, Selby or Ding. So I've backed them all.
If you go for Past Winners who could win it again, there are only three too, Ronnie, Higgins and Williams. Murphy, Dott, Nuggett, Ken no. Ebdon...........outside chance.
Shock - Winner of Cope/Carter but no no no, or Allen, no.
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by Bourne » 12 Apr 2010 Read
I'd never thought to categorise like that ... well this is a scenario:
Only once in Crucible history has a player outside the top 16 won the tournament (Murphy 05), which rules out:
Hawkins
S Davis
O'Brien
Gould
Cope
Holt
Pettman
Greene
Lee
Dott
Ford
M Davis
Doherty
Zhang
Campbell
Liang
Only once in 25 years has the winner failed to reach a ranking final before winning the Worlds (Murphy 05), which rules out:
Allen
Since 1979, the winner has been aged between 22 years and 8 months, and 33 years and 11 months, which rules out:
Higgins
King
Perry
Ebdon
Hendry
Williams
O'Sullivan
Only once since 1981 has the winner been from outside the UK, which rules out:
Robertson
Fu
Ding
Of the last 6 champions, 5 had reached a World final before, which rules out:
Day
Maguire
The last Championships saw the winner lose in a tournament final previously that season, which rules out:
Murphy
Selby
So, the winner will be Allister Carter.
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by snookerbacker » 13 Apr 2010 Read
So you've reached your conclusion.
However - fly approaching ointment here. The age one is the one that might find you out, as that is a bit of a false statistic as the oldest was last year and might just be the start of a trend of older winners?
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by Bourne » 13 Apr 2010 Read
It's defintiely not foolproof
I just think it's far too open to be backing single-figure prices here, so many good players all capable of beating eachother, a lot of the top contenders drawn eachother in the bottom quarter, Robbo or Higgins out before the semis, Murphy or Ding out before the quarters ... It's going to be hard for a player to win this tournament easily so I don't like backing the shorter prices in this situation.
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by GJ » 13 Apr 2010 Read
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by Bourne » 14 Apr 2010 Read
Got to say i'm a bit disappointed at the public gamble on Ding in recent weeks, I understand why but I was hoping to get like 12s at least given his poor record there over the years and the fact that Selby won the Masters a few months ago, that he'd be clear 3rd favo ... Dividing them up like SB did, into the faves/good chances/decent outsiders/little-chances, these are my favourite from each category to win:
Faves - John Higgins 11/2
Good chances - Neil Robertson 12/1
Decent Outsiders - Ali Carter 33/1
Little Chances - Liang Wenbo 80/1
So for me, this Higgins vs Robertson quarter-final is going to be huge, one of those prices is going to look pretty silly come the semis.
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by Rocket_ron » 14 Apr 2010 Read
StalinESQ wrote:Zhanger
King
Day
Dotty
60 notes return 882.44
only 4 fold bet,
any 16 match accys?
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by Witz78 » 14 Apr 2010 Read
StalinESQ wrote:Zhanger
King
Day
Dotty
60 notes return 882.44
If it comes in ill give you the money myself
Ive got Fu to beat Gouldy by more than a frame, Ding to beat Pettman, Robbo to beat O'Brien and Williams to beat Campbell. £400 on that gets a tidy £1000 back.
Also gone £80 on Davis to beat King for a nice £230 return.
£60 on Zhang to beat Hendry for a £260 return
and £25 on Wenbo to beat Ronnie for a £125 return though i hope i lose that bet
Also contemplating bets on Cope and Ebdon
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by Smart » 14 Apr 2010 Read
rocket_ron wrote:StalinESQ wrote:Zhanger
King
Day
Dotty
60 notes return 882.44
only 4 fold bet,
any 16 match accys?
yes of course, but you might as well open the nearest window and throw your cash out..................
I have deliveberately chosen:
an outsider with great potential and who I believe in VS a former champ with a great record
PLUS
3 other matches with favourables odds
THUS maximising any return on investment...... I am not interested in 5 or 10 % returns, its multi-baggers that interest me.
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by Bourne » 16 Apr 2010 Read
OK, got about £380 to play with this fortnight, start off with:
Higgins to win World Champs @ 6.0 (£100) - The man to beat. Kind draw to ease him in before the big match against Robbo in QF ... winner of that makes the final for me, and although Robbo's beaten him already this season, I think it's a different kettle of fish in Sheffield. With Higgins, I know i'm going to get a guy who won't give in no matter how much he's struggling and that's always re-assuring.
Ebdon to win World Champs @ 80.0 (£20) - Like this for a number of reasons. First, he's in the 'easy' quarter with no big names. Secondly, he's a former champ here so knows what it takes, as well as being in a final only 4 years ago and a ranking winner in the last 13 months. His form isn't ideal but I don't believe that form should be the be all and end all when making picks for the Crucible ... like Higgins, I know i'm going to get value for money here with Ebdon's battling qualities alone.
Good luck
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by Rocket_ron » 16 Apr 2010 Read
Bourne wrote:OK, got about £380 to play with this fortnight, start off with:
Higgins to win World Champs @ 6.0 (£100) - The man to beat. Kind draw to ease him in before the big match against Robbo in QF ... winner of that makes the final for me, and although Robbo's beaten him already this season, I think it's a different kettle of fish in Sheffield. With Higgins, I know i'm going to get a guy who won't give in no matter how much he's struggling and that's always re-assuring.
Ebdon to win World Champs @ 80.0 (£20) - Like this for a number of reasons. First, he's in the 'easy' quarter with no big names. Secondly, he's a former champ here so knows what it takes, as well as being in a final only 4 years ago and a ranking winner in the last 13 months. His form isn't ideal but I don't believe that form should be the be all and end all when making picks for the Crucible ... like Higgins, I know i'm going to get value for money here with Ebdon's battling qualities alone.
Good luck
can someone explain these odds that bourne uses 6.0 and 80.0 i dont understand
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by Rocket_ron » 16 Apr 2010 Read
StalinESQ wrote::wave:
go on then lazy sod
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by Bourne » 17 Apr 2010 Read
(IR @ 1-3) Higgins over Hawkins @ 1.35 (£45.53)
I've read the script often enough here, Higgins the champ and mentally strong titan against Hawkins the mental pygmy shrew.
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by Alex0paul » 17 Apr 2010 Read
£2 on Zhang to have the highest break of the tournament at 100/1
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by Bourne » 17 Apr 2010 Read
Hendry (-3.5) over Zhang @ 2.04 (£60) - The GOAT against a noob, I can smell blood.
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by Bourne » 18 Apr 2010 Read
Just put a £116 lay on Carter @ 1.05 when 6-1 up, possible loss of £5.80 ... worth the risk if Cope can nick the last two and maybe get his head straight for tomorrow. GL
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by Casey » 20 Apr 2010 Read
With Robbo 6-3 up and Ding 8-1 up my bet looks certain now.
I will plumb the whole lot on Higgins and Robbo to come through their next match....maybe Allen as well if Mark Davis wins through
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by GJ » 20 Apr 2010 Read
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by Bourne » 21 Apr 2010 Read
Big Stephen Lee over Maguire @ 4.3 (£40)
Problems for Mags in the last week or so with police matters, can't have done his preparation much good. Lee has at least had a clean run-in since his problems, easy win in qualies over the same frame distance ... this is at least a decent value bet.
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by Casey » 21 Apr 2010 Read
£200 on
Allen
Robbo
Higgins
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by Rocket_ron » 21 Apr 2010 Read
case_master wc wrote:£200 on
Allen
Robbo
Higgins
whats your return casey baby
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