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Re: Race to the Crucible: Judgement Days (April 15th~16th)

Postby HappyCamper

LDS wrote:
HappyCamper wrote:
LDS wrote:
mantorok wrote:
Wildey wrote:
On Bet 365 he is 14/1 the same as Shaun Murphy even Ding is 16/1


Can't lie those odds are probably still justified, he's looking good.


From what I can gather from years of watching snooker on their site, they very likely don't have any human input in deciding odds, I think those days are gone.

I would speculate that they just use an AI database that gets fed stats and information.


initial odds would be based largely on statistical models yes. but once open it will be driven by the market participants based on all available information. bookies just act as market makers, and set odds to guarantee profit whatever the outcome, essentially taking a commission from all the bets placed across the market. if the money is backing zhao then his odds will shorten until an equilibrium is met, a bookie not responding to those market signals will not be a bookie for long.


Yes, and all those adjustments are likely done by the computers now.


yeah. and a significant amount of the bets being placed will be done by bots too.

Re: Race to the Crucible: Judgement Days (April 15th~16th)

Postby BringBackTonyDrago

Sunny did well to get back into that fifth frame needing 3 snookers. Lost it in a re spotted black which he had a few chances to win it.

4-1 is not looking good.

Sunny and Xintong are the only players from Q1 to make it to judgement day this year. Im really hoping Sunny makes it but it’s not looking good right now. He’s just been unlucky.

Xintong has smashed through Q-School this season and tbh it’s not shock he has go this far from Q1 he is too good.

Re: Race to the Crucible: Judgement Days (April 15th~16th)

Postby SnookerEd25

mantorok wrote:
SnookerFan wrote:
mantorok wrote:18/1 for Xintong to win the whole thing is ridiculous odds.


Going to have a tenner on it?


I was going to lay a bet down but those odds are well stingy, he's not even qualified yet and he's right up there between Murphy and Hawkins <laugh>

What a joke.


Yeah, he’d have to be 50/1 (which I think would arguably still be a bit stingy) for a tenner to even approach a value bet.

Re: Race to the Crucible: Judgement Days (April 15th~16th)

Postby SnookerEd25

Running side wrote:Anyone tried Sunnys rest technique, tried Sunday with half butt,few laughs from nearby tables until I potted thin black. Unfortunately followed up with dropping the lot on 4 reds,bugger.


Ooofff. Dodgy guts? :sad:

Re: Race to the Crucible: Judgement Days (April 15th~16th)

Postby HappyCamper

BringBackTonyDrago wrote:Sunny and Xintong are the only players from Q1 to make it to judgement day this year. Im really hoping Sunny makes it but it’s not looking good right now. He’s just been unlucky.


gao yang and wang yuchen. there is a second judgement day tomorrow.

Re: Race to the Crucible: Judgement Days (April 15th~16th)

Postby Running side

SnookerEd25 wrote:
Running side wrote:Anyone tried Sunnys rest technique, tried Sunday with half butt,few laughs from nearby tables until I potted thin black. Unfortunately followed up with dropping the lot on 4 reds,bugger.


Ooofff. Dodgy guts? :sad:

luckily did"t have my Kirk Stevens suit on. :

Re: Race to the Crucible: Judgement Days (April 15th~16th)

Postby LDS

Running side wrote:
SnookerEd25 wrote:
Running side wrote:Anyone tried Sunnys rest technique, tried Sunday with half butt,few laughs from nearby tables until I potted thin black. Unfortunately followed up with dropping the lot on 4 reds,bugger.


Ooofff. Dodgy guts? :sad:

luckily did"t have my Kirk Stevens suit on. :


:hankey:

Re: Race to the Crucible: Judgement Days (April 15th~16th)

Postby BringBackTonyDrago

HappyCamper wrote:
BringBackTonyDrago wrote:Sunny and Xintong are the only players from Q1 to make it to judgement day this year. Im really hoping Sunny makes it but it’s not looking good right now. He’s just been unlucky.


gao yang and wang yuchen. there is a second judgement day tomorrow.


I meant from today, I should have mentioned that lol. Wang had that walk over Dott though .

Re: Race to the Crucible: Judgement Days (April 15th~16th)

Postby Andre147

LDS wrote:Slessor pots lots of balls and so only trails 3-6 at the end of the session.


That frame was massive for Slessor. 7-2 down I think Xintong would just win easily, but 6-3 I think there's still quite a lot in this match yet. Having said that, Xintong just blitzing 4 quick frames would be the least surprising lol

Re: Race to the Crucible: Judgement Days (April 15th~16th)

Postby Wildey

Daniel Wells going great.


I Never Rated Daniel and Where he is in the ranking sort of proves me Right his highest Ever ranking hes on at the Moment 49 but the last 2 years there's definitely a improvement there.

Re: Race to the Crucible: Judgement Days (April 15th~16th)

Postby Gaspard

Andre147 wrote:That frame was massive for Slessor. 7-2 down I think Xintong would just win easily, but 6-3 I think there's still quite a lot in this match yet. Having said that, Xintong just blitzing 4 quick frames would be the least surprising lol


The score doesn't reflect the match for sure. Let's hope Xintong will do some errors and Slessor capitalize on them.