He needs a decent 'run' in the China Open to even guarantee his place at The Crucible - he's currently occupying the 16th slot.
If he slipped into the qualifiers, he should still be able to qualify...but, that's the sort of environment where things could get uncomfortable for him. Fortunately, they're best-of-19s and his quality should take him through, in the end.
I'd just be glad to see him in the tournament, for now. But, I can't see him going the distance there.
It's certainly possible, for a player of his undoubted calibre, to play himself into the tournament - and it wouldn't be a huge shock to see him at the single-table semi-final stage.
But, for me, that's where it would start to unravel for Ding.
The enormity of what he was close to achieving would be evident - and that eye would start twitching (!) and he'd start twitching....
I just can't see him winning a semi-final over 33 frames; I'm certain he'd be beaten at that stage.
So,.....I'll also go for a NO to the question!